2023 Fantasy Football ADP vs. Performance
Average Draft Position (ADP) versus end-of-season finish for the 2023 NFL season — the draft-day steals and busts
2023's Biggest Draft Steals & Busts
The biggest 2023 draft-day steal was Demarcus Robinson, drafted as WR165 but finishing WR79. The biggest bust was Mike Williams, drafted WR24 but finishing WR112.
🚀 Top Steals
- Demarcus RobinsonWR165 ADP → WR79 finish
- Puka NacuaWR89 ADP → WR4 finish
- Dontayvion WicksWR133 ADP → WR58 finish
- Nelson AgholorWR146 ADP → WR71 finish
- Kyren WilliamsRB71 ADP → RB7 finish
📉 Top Busts
- Mike WilliamsWR24 ADP → WR112 finish
- Nick ChubbRB5 ADP → RB89 finish
- Rashaad PennyRB42 ADP → RB123 finish
- Treylon BurksWR45 ADP → WR122 finish
- Greg DulcichTE19 ADP → TE96 finish
Actual Performance (Tiers)
The average points scored by players who finished X1 or X2 in 2023
QB
306QB1 Avg (1-12)
213QB2 Avg (13-24)
RB
237RB1 Avg (1-24)
142RB2 Avg (25-48)
WR
266WR1 Avg (1-24)
181WR2 Avg (25-48)
TE
191TE1 Avg (1-12)
119TE2 Avg (13-24)
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2023 Player ADP vs. Fantasy Finish
Showing only fantasy-relevant players: those with ADP ≤200 or top 200 fantasy point scorers
Justin Jefferson→
ADP1.0
ADP Position Rank1
Final Position Rank33
Christian McCaffrey→
ADP2.3
ADP Position Rank1
Final Position Rank1
Ja'Marr Chase→
ADP3.0
ADP Position Rank2
Final Position Rank11
Austin Ekeler→
ADP3.8
ADP Position Rank2
Final Position Rank26
Travis Kelce→
ADP5.8
ADP Position Rank1
Final Position Rank3
Tyreek Hill→
ADP6.3
ADP Position Rank3
Final Position Rank2
Saquon Barkley→
ADP7.8
ADP Position Rank3
Final Position Rank13
Bijan Robinson→
ADP8.0
ADP Position Rank4
Final Position Rank9
Stefon Diggs→
ADP10.0
ADP Position Rank4
Final Position Rank9
Nick Chubb→
ADP12.3
ADP Position Rank5
Final Position Rank89
Davante Adams→
ADP12.8
ADP Position Rank5
Final Position Rank10
CeeDee Lamb→
ADP13.3
ADP Position Rank6
Final Position Rank1
Cooper Kupp→
ADP13.8
ADP Position Rank7
Final Position Rank40
Patrick Mahomes→
ADP14.5
ADP Position Rank1
Final Position Rank8
A.J. Brown→
ADP15.0
ADP Position Rank8
Final Position Rank5
Derrick Henry→
ADP16.0
ADP Position Rank7
Final Position Rank8
Tony Pollard→
ADP16.0
ADP Position Rank6
Final Position Rank14
Josh Jacobs→
ADP16.0
ADP Position Rank8
Final Position Rank28
Garrett Wilson→
ADP17.3
ADP Position Rank9
Final Position Rank26
Amon-Ra St. Brown→
ADP18.8
ADP Position Rank10
Final Position Rank3
Josh Allen→
ADP20.5
ADP Position Rank2
Final Position Rank1
Jalen Hurts→
ADP22.8
ADP Position Rank3
Final Position Rank2
Jaylen Waddle→
ADP24.5
ADP Position Rank11
Final Position Rank34
Chris Olave→
ADP26.5
ADP Position Rank12
Final Position Rank16
DeVonta Smith→
ADP27.0
ADP Position Rank13
Final Position Rank19
Najee Harris→
ADP28.0
ADP Position Rank9
Final Position Rank23
Travis Etienne→
ADP28.8
ADP Position Rank10
Final Position Rank3
Tee Higgins→
ADP28.8
ADP Position Rank14
Final Position Rank51
Mark Andrews→
ADP30.3
ADP Position Rank2
Final Position Rank14
Rhamondre Stevenson→
ADP30.5
ADP Position Rank11
Final Position Rank35
DK Metcalf→
ADP31.3
ADP Position Rank15
Final Position Rank21
Joe Mixon→
ADP33.0
ADP Position Rank12
Final Position Rank6
Jahmyr Gibbs→
ADP33.0
ADP Position Rank13
Final Position Rank10
Lamar Jackson→
ADP34.0
ADP Position Rank4
Final Position Rank4
Calvin Ridley→
ADP34.5
ADP Position Rank16
Final Position Rank18
Joe Burrow→
ADP34.8
ADP Position Rank5
Final Position Rank25
Aaron Jones→
ADP37.3
ADP Position Rank14
Final Position Rank37
Deebo Samuel→
ADP38.0
ADP Position Rank17
Final Position Rank15
Breece Hall→
ADP40.8
ADP Position Rank15
Final Position Rank2
Amari Cooper→
ADP42.0
ADP Position Rank18
Final Position Rank20
Justin Herbert→
ADP43.5
ADP Position Rank6
Final Position Rank17
Keenan Allen→
ADP43.5
ADP Position Rank19
Final Position Rank8
Kenneth Walker→
ADP43.8
ADP Position Rank16
Final Position Rank19
Justin Fields→
ADP44.3
ADP Position Rank7
Final Position Rank18
T.J. Hockenson→
ADP45.3
ADP Position Rank3
Final Position Rank4
Dameon Pierce→
ADP46.3
ADP Position Rank17
Final Position Rank55
Jonathan Taylor→
ADP47.8
ADP Position Rank18
Final Position Rank33
George Kittle→
ADP49.5
ADP Position Rank4
Final Position Rank5
Miles Sanders→
ADP50.5
ADP Position Rank19
Final Position Rank52
Darren Waller→
ADP50.5
ADP Position Rank5
Final Position Rank21
D.J. Moore→
ADP50.8
ADP Position Rank20
Final Position Rank6
DeAndre Hopkins→
ADP52.5
ADP Position Rank21
Final Position Rank22
Terry McLaurin→
ADP54.3
ADP Position Rank22
Final Position Rank31
Trevor Lawrence→
ADP55.0
ADP Position Rank8
Final Position Rank12
Christian Watson→
ADP55.3
ADP Position Rank23
Final Position Rank68
Mike Williams→
ADP60.8
ADP Position Rank24
Final Position Rank112
Alvin Kamara→
ADP61.5
ADP Position Rank20
Final Position Rank11
Kyle Pitts→
ADP62.3
ADP Position Rank6
Final Position Rank12
Alexander Mattison→
ADP62.8
ADP Position Rank21
Final Position Rank38
Dalvin Cook→
ADP63.5
ADP Position Rank22
Final Position Rank75
Dallas Goedert→
ADP63.8
ADP Position Rank7
Final Position Rank13
Cam Akers→
ADP64.0
ADP Position Rank23
Final Position Rank66
James Conner→
ADP64.5
ADP Position Rank24
Final Position Rank18
Rachaad White→
ADP65.5
ADP Position Rank25
Final Position Rank4
Drake London→
ADP66.8
ADP Position Rank25
Final Position Rank37
Chris Godwin→
ADP67.0
ADP Position Rank26
Final Position Rank28
Tyler Lockett→
ADP70.5
ADP Position Rank27
Final Position Rank32
James Cook→
ADP71.3
ADP Position Rank26
Final Position Rank12
Brandon Aiyuk→
ADP72.0
ADP Position Rank29
Final Position Rank14
Jerry Jeudy→
ADP72.0
ADP Position Rank28
Final Position Rank50
Isiah Pacheco→
ADP72.5
ADP Position Rank27
Final Position Rank15
Javonte Williams→
ADP72.8
ADP Position Rank28
Final Position Rank29
D'Andre Swift→
ADP74.3
ADP Position Rank29
Final Position Rank20
Diontae Johnson→
ADP74.8
ADP Position Rank30
Final Position Rank44
Mike Evans→
ADP75.8
ADP Position Rank31
Final Position Rank7
Deshaun Watson→
ADP76.0
ADP Position Rank9
Final Position Rank37
Christian Kirk→
ADP76.0
ADP Position Rank32
Final Position Rank46
Evan Engram→
ADP78.3
ADP Position Rank8
Final Position Rank2
Michael Pittman→
ADP81.5
ADP Position Rank33
Final Position Rank13
George Pickens→
ADP83.0
ADP Position Rank34
Final Position Rank29
David Njoku→
ADP85.8
ADP Position Rank9
Final Position Rank6
David Montgomery→
ADP86.0
ADP Position Rank30
Final Position Rank17
Dak Prescott→
ADP89.5
ADP Position Rank10
Final Position Rank3
Marquise Brown→
ADP91.3
ADP Position Rank35
Final Position Rank52
Jahan Dotson→
ADP91.8
ADP Position Rank36
Final Position Rank56
Tua Tagovailoa→
ADP93.5
ADP Position Rank11
Final Position Rank11
Jordan Addison→
ADP93.8
ADP Position Rank37
Final Position Rank23
AJ Dillon→
ADP94.5
ADP Position Rank31
Final Position Rank42
Brandin Cooks→
ADP95.0
ADP Position Rank38
Final Position Rank38
Pat Freiermuth→
ADP95.3
ADP Position Rank10
Final Position Rank29
Jaxon Smith-Njigba→
ADP97.5
ADP Position Rank39
Final Position Rank47
Khalil Herbert→
ADP99.0
ADP Position Rank32
Final Position Rank43
Aaron Rodgers→
ADP101.8
ADP Position Rank12
Final Position Rank76
Jamaal Williams→
ADP103.8
ADP Position Rank33
Final Position Rank61
Courtland Sutton→
ADP106.0
ADP Position Rank40
Final Position Rank35
Odell Beckham Jr.→
ADP106.3
ADP Position Rank42
Final Position Rank63
Michael Thomas→
ADP106.3
ADP Position Rank41
Final Position Rank75
Gabe Davis→
ADP108.3
ADP Position Rank43
Final Position Rank41
Brian Robinson→
ADP109.3
ADP Position Rank34
Final Position Rank21
JuJu Smith-Schuster→
ADP109.3
ADP Position Rank44
Final Position Rank96
Kirk Cousins→
ADP109.8
ADP Position Rank13
Final Position Rank24
Antonio Gibson→
ADP112.5
ADP Position Rank35
Final Position Rank39
Treylon Burks→
ADP114.0
ADP Position Rank45
Final Position Rank122
Zay Flowers→
ADP115.0
ADP Position Rank46
Final Position Rank30
Kadarius Toney→
ADP116.8
ADP Position Rank47
Final Position Rank107
Zach Charbonnet→
ADP118.0
ADP Position Rank36
Final Position Rank45
Samaje Perine→
ADP118.5
ADP Position Rank37
Final Position Rank40
Anthony Richardson→
ADP120.3
ADP Position Rank14
Final Position Rank40
Dalton Schultz→
ADP120.5
ADP Position Rank11
Final Position Rank10
Daniel Jones→
ADP120.8
ADP Position Rank15
Final Position Rank45
Geno Smith→
ADP124.8
ADP Position Rank16
Final Position Rank19
Jerick McKinnon→
ADP125.3
ADP Position Rank38
Final Position Rank53
Quentin Johnston→
ADP125.3
ADP Position Rank48
Final Position Rank74
Dalton Kincaid→
ADP127.0
ADP Position Rank12
Final Position Rank11
Skyy Moore→
ADP127.5
ADP Position Rank49
Final Position Rank106
Cole Kmet→
ADP129.5
ADP Position Rank13
Final Position Rank8
Ezekiel Elliott→
ADP134.8
ADP Position Rank39
Final Position Rank30
Raheem Mostert→
ADP135.0
ADP Position Rank40
Final Position Rank5
Tyler Higbee→
ADP136.3
ADP Position Rank14
Final Position Rank23
De'Von Achane→
ADP136.8
ADP Position Rank41
Final Position Rank24
Adam Thielen→
ADP137.3
ADP Position Rank50
Final Position Rank17
Jared Goff→
ADP138.8
ADP Position Rank17
Final Position Rank7
Elijah Mitchell→
ADP140.3
ADP Position Rank43
Final Position Rank64
Rashaad Penny→
ADP140.3
ADP Position Rank42
Final Position Rank123
Allen Lazard→
ADP143.5
ADP Position Rank51
Final Position Rank99
Juwan Johnson→
ADP147.3
ADP Position Rank15
Final Position Rank25
Russell Wilson→
ADP148.0
ADP Position Rank18
Final Position Rank14
Jakobi Meyers→
ADP150.0
ADP Position Rank52
Final Position Rank24
Elijah Moore→
ADP151.0
ADP Position Rank53
Final Position Rank54
Rashod Bateman→
ADP152.0
ADP Position Rank54
Final Position Rank85
Jameson Williams→
ADP154.0
ADP Position Rank55
Final Position Rank82
Chigoziem Okonkwo→
ADP154.5
ADP Position Rank16
Final Position Rank20
Tyler Boyd→
ADP156.0
ADP Position Rank56
Final Position Rank49
Devin Singletary→
ADP159.3
ADP Position Rank44
Final Position Rank32
Tyler Allgeier→
ADP160.0
ADP Position Rank45
Final Position Rank36
Gerald Everett→
ADP162.0
ADP Position Rank17
Final Position Rank22
Jaylen Warren→
ADP162.8
ADP Position Rank46
Final Position Rank22
Derek Carr→
ADP163.3
ADP Position Rank19
Final Position Rank16
Damien Harris→
ADP164.5
ADP Position Rank47
Final Position Rank94
Jalin Hyatt→
ADP166.3
ADP Position Rank57
Final Position Rank98
Brock Purdy→
ADP167.0
ADP Position Rank20
Final Position Rank6
Kenny Pickett→
ADP168.3
ADP Position Rank21
Final Position Rank31
Sam LaPorta→
ADP168.3
ADP Position Rank18
Final Position Rank1
Tank Bigsby→
ADP169.8
ADP Position Rank48
Final Position Rank88
D'Onta Foreman→
ADP170.7
ADP Position Rank52
Final Position Rank51
Jeff Wilson→
ADP172.3
ADP Position Rank53
Final Position Rank73
Zay Jones→
ADP173.3
ADP Position Rank58
Final Position Rank84
Nico Collins→
ADP174.0
ADP Position Rank60
Final Position Rank12
Darnell Mooney→
ADP174.0
ADP Position Rank59
Final Position Rank83
Greg Dulcich→
ADP176.0
ADP Position Rank19
Final Position Rank96
Kendre Miller→
ADP177.3
ADP Position Rank54
Final Position Rank70
Matthew Stafford→
ADP178.8
ADP Position Rank22
Final Position Rank15
Deuce Vaughn→
ADP180.0
ADP Position Rank49
Final Position Rank101
Romeo Doubs→
ADP180.3
ADP Position Rank61
Final Position Rank36
Bryce Young→
ADP183.3
ADP Position Rank23
Final Position Rank23
Deon Jackson→
ADP183.7
ADP Position Rank56
Final Position Rank127
Rashee Rice→
ADP185.3
ADP Position Rank67
Final Position Rank27
Jordan Love→
ADP189.0
ADP Position Rank24
Final Position Rank5
Michael Gallup→
ADP190.0
ADP Position Rank62
Final Position Rank78
Cordarrelle Patterson→
ADP190.3
ADP Position Rank57
Final Position Rank79
Jonathan Mingo→
ADP190.3
ADP Position Rank63
Final Position Rank81
Van Jefferson→
ADP191.0
ADP Position Rank76
Final Position Rank120
Dawson Knox→
ADP191.8
ADP Position Rank20
Final Position Rank40
K.J. Osborn→
ADP192.3
ADP Position Rank64
Final Position Rank57
Kyren Williams→
ADP193.0
ADP Position Rank71
Final Position Rank7
Donovan Peoples-Jones→
ADP194.3
ADP Position Rank69
Final Position Rank142
Roschon Johnson→
ADP195.0
ADP Position Rank51
Final Position Rank47
Sean Tucker→
ADP198.0
ADP Position Rank72
Final Position Rank122
Zach Ertz→
ADP198.8
ADP Position Rank21
Final Position Rank42
Sam Howell→
ADP200.3
ADP Position Rank25
Final Position Rank13
D.J. Chark→
ADP200.3
ADP Position Rank65
Final Position Rank59
Luke Musgrave→
ADP200.8
ADP Position Rank22
Final Position Rank30
Kyler Murray→
ADP201.5
ADP Position Rank26
Final Position Rank26
Clyde Edwards-Helaire→
ADP201.7
ADP Position Rank60
Final Position Rank58
Zack Moss→
ADP203.5
ADP Position Rank63
Final Position Rank31
Chuba Hubbard→
ADP206.0
ADP Position Rank61
Final Position Rank27
Tyjae Spears→
ADP207.7
ADP Position Rank62
Final Position Rank34
Taysom Hill→
ADP207.8
ADP Position Rank23
Final Position Rank27
Ty Chandler→
ADP208.5
ADP Position Rank64
Final Position Rank48
C.J. Stroud→
ADP211.5
ADP Position Rank27
Final Position Rank9
Kareem Hunt→
ADP212.5
ADP Position Rank55
Final Position Rank41
Jimmy Garoppolo→
ADP213.3
ADP Position Rank28
Final Position Rank44
Jake Ferguson→
ADP214.8
ADP Position Rank24
Final Position Rank9
Marvin Mims→
ADP216.5
ADP Position Rank68
Final Position Rank92
Hunter Henry→
ADP217.7
ADP Position Rank29
Final Position Rank18
Jayden Reed→
ADP220.0
ADP Position Rank73
Final Position Rank25
Jerome Ford→
ADP222.0
ADP Position Rank68
Final Position Rank16
Tyler Conklin→
ADP222.3
ADP Position Rank27
Final Position Rank17
Mac Jones→
ADP222.7
ADP Position Rank30
Final Position Rank32
Gus Edwards→
ADP223.5
ADP Position Rank59
Final Position Rank25
Alec Pierce→
ADP226.3
ADP Position Rank75
Final Position Rank73
Curtis Samuel→
ADP230.3
ADP Position Rank77
Final Position Rank42
Latavius Murray→
ADP234.5
ADP Position Rank70
Final Position Rank54
Baker Mayfield→
ADP240.3
ADP Position Rank31
Final Position Rank10
Ryan Tannehill→
ADP240.3
ADP Position Rank29
Final Position Rank38
Darius Slayton→
ADP245.5
ADP Position Rank85
Final Position Rank45
Desmond Ridder→
ADP250.0
ADP Position Rank32
Final Position Rank22
Trey McBride→
ADP252.0
ADP Position Rank39
Final Position Rank7
Josh Downs→
ADP252.0
ADP Position Rank86
Final Position Rank43
Jaleel McLaughlin→
ADP254.0
ADP Position Rank79
Final Position Rank46
Trey Palmer→
ADP256.0
ADP Position Rank96
Final Position Rank72
Wan'Dale Robinson→
ADP259.5
ADP Position Rank87
Final Position Rank53
Rashid Shaheed→
ADP259.7
ADP Position Rank83
Final Position Rank48
Robert Woods→
ADP261.0
ADP Position Rank84
Final Position Rank76
Isaiah Likely→
ADP262.0
ADP Position Rank32
Final Position Rank24
Puka Nacua→
ADP265.0
ADP Position Rank89
Final Position Rank4
Tank Dell→
ADP265.8
ADP Position Rank74
Final Position Rank39
Josh Palmer→
ADP267.5
ADP Position Rank90
Final Position Rank65
Rico Dowdle→
ADP271.0
ADP Position Rank86
Final Position Rank50
Cade Otton→
ADP271.7
ADP Position Rank34
Final Position Rank19
Michael Wilson→
ADP272.0
ADP Position Rank100
Final Position Rank60
Justin Watson→
ADP274.0
ADP Position Rank101
Final Position Rank77
Zach Wilson→
ADP275.0
ADP Position Rank40
Final Position Rank30
Logan Thomas→
ADP279.0
ADP Position Rank53
Final Position Rank15
Irv Smith→
ADP285.0
ADP Position Rank30
Final Position Rank60
Jake Browning→
ADP289.0
ADP Position Rank45
Final Position Rank28
Jonnu Smith→
ADP319.0
ADP Position Rank73
Final Position Rank16
Khalil Shakir→
ADP340.0
ADP Position Rank104
Final Position Rank61
Dontayvion Wicks→
ADP356.0
ADP Position Rank133
Final Position Rank58
Aidan O'Connell→
ADP369.0
ADP Position Rank65
Final Position Rank29
Joe Flacco→
ADP374.0
ADP Position Rank66
Final Position Rank34
Nelson Agholor→
ADP390.0
ADP Position Rank146
Final Position Rank71
Tyrod Taylor→
ADP395.0
ADP Position Rank71
Final Position Rank36
Bailey Zappe→
ADP396.0
ADP Position Rank72
Final Position Rank39
Demarcus Robinson→
ADP450.0
ADP Position Rank165
Final Position Rank79
Joshua Dobbs→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank20
Gardner Minshew→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank21
Will Levis→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank33
Tommy DeVito→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank35
Justice Hill→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank44
Kenneth Gainwell→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank49
J.K. Dobbins→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank109
Tanner Hudson→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank26
Josh Reynolds→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank55
Tutu Atwell→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank62
Noah Brown→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank67
Rondale Moore→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank66
Demario Douglas→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank64
Kendrick Bourne→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank69
Kalif Raymond→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank70
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine→
ADPN/A
ADP Position RankN/A
Final Position Rank80
